De Amerikaanse presidentsverkiezingen zijn de meest spannende en onvoorspelbare sinds mensenheugenis. Niemand, inclusief ondergetekende, dacht een half jaar geleden nog dat Donald Trump een serieuze kanshebber was. Hij lapt politieke spelregels niet alleen aan zijn laars, nee, hij herschrijft ze. Ook al kan Hillary Clinton de nominatie nauwelijks meer ontgaan, de kracht van Bernie Sanders’s…… Continue reading 2016 zal keerpunt worden in electorale geschiedenis
Tag: 2016 elections
Is Jeb Bush toast? Hard data and historical insights suggest the opposite
Political science and election science, as social sciences, are sandwiched between the desire for mathematical exactness and methodological limitations to measuring human behaviour. In other words: political scientists, much like economists, want to give precise answers by relying on data but people’s preferences for candidates and their political points of view are difficult to measure.…… Continue reading Is Jeb Bush toast? Hard data and historical insights suggest the opposite
When will foreign policy become an election topic?
It’s difficult to decide what spells worse for Obama’s foreign policy legacy. An opinion article in the Wall Street Journal where William McGurn, George W. Bush’s speech writer, favorably compares Jimmy Carter to Barack Obama? Or perhaps this article in Politico, which makes it look like Obama could learn a thing or two from the…… Continue reading When will foreign policy become an election topic?
Even Barbara Bush didn’t want Jeb to run
Jeb Bush’s campaign isn’t doing very well, with Bush garnering support among fewer than 10% of GOP primary voters. A lot has been made already about the nice, polite schoolboy who does not want to get down and dirty with the school bully. The thing is, the polite ‘young man’ is also trailing behind Ben…… Continue reading Even Barbara Bush didn’t want Jeb to run
Liberals should get enthusiastic about Trump’s refusal of salary if elected
Trump pledged yesterday to forego a salary if he would become President. Although it may be easy for him to do, it speaks to the strength of his proposition to the American people as a candidate. American suspicion It may be a moot point. For starters, he is not very likely to get the job.…… Continue reading Liberals should get enthusiastic about Trump’s refusal of salary if elected
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